{"id":431,"date":"2026-08-07T15:34:27","date_gmt":"2026-08-07T15:34:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nationalconsumerreportss.com\/?p=431"},"modified":"2026-08-07T15:34:27","modified_gmt":"2026-08-07T15:34:27","slug":"scaling-laws-daniel-kokotajlo-on-ai-2040-plan-a","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nationalconsumerreportss.com\/?p=431","title":{"rendered":"Scaling Laws: Daniel Kokotajlo on AI 2040: Plan A"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p>Daniel Kokotajlo, former OpenAI researcher and executive director of the AI Futures Project, joins Kevin Frazier, Director of the AI Innovation and Law Program at Texas Law and Senior Editor at <em>Lawfare<\/em>, to detail his policy recommendation\u2014AI 2040: Plan A. It\u2019s a thorough analysis of a policy pathway to delaying superintelligence, which Daniel and his co-authors think is necessary to ensure that the disruptive effects of highly-capable AI systems do not outweigh the benefits.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/nationalconsumerreportss.com\/?p=430\">\u2018Defending Taiwan\u2019 and the Limits of Military-Only Deterrence<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Kevin asks Daniel to explain scenario scrutiny, address feedback from other AI policy stakeholder such as Tom Davidson, and detail what led him to already alter his estimation of how likely it is that policymakers adopt Plan A.<\/p>\n<p>Find <em>Scaling Laws<\/em> on the <em>Lawfare<\/em> website, and subscribe to never miss an episode.<\/p>\n<p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/nationalconsumerreportss.com\/?p=428\">Being a North Korean Hacker Is About to Be Less Fun<\/a><\/p>\n<p>To receive ad-free podcasts, become a Lawfare Material Supporter at www.patreon.com\/lawfare. You can also support Lawfare by making a one-time donation at .<\/p>\n<p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/nationalconsumerreportss.com\/?p=426\">Rational Security: The \u201cLive from Mom\u2019s Basement\u201d Edition<\/a><\/p>\n<p>This episode ran as the August 7 episode on the Lawfare Daily feed.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Daniel Kokotajlo, former OpenAI researcher and executive director of the AI Futures Project, joins Kevin Frazier, Director of the AI Innovation and Law Program at Texas Law and Senior Editor at Lawfare, to detail his policy recommendation\u2014AI 2040: Plan A. It\u2019s a thorough analysis of a policy pathway to delaying superintelligence, which Daniel and his [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-431","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-interesting"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Scaling Laws: Daniel Kokotajlo on AI 2040: Plan A - National Consumer Reports<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/nationalconsumerreportss.com\/?p=431\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Scaling Laws: Daniel Kokotajlo on AI 2040: Plan A - National Consumer Reports\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Daniel Kokotajlo, former OpenAI researcher and executive director of the AI Futures Project, joins Kevin Frazier, Director of the AI Innovation and Law Program at Texas Law and Senior Editor at Lawfare, to detail his policy recommendation\u2014AI 2040: Plan A. 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